What's the best way to say "Don't count on it" to somebody in German when they have high hopes on something that is more likely not to happen than to happen?
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Here a collection:
All those are applicable if you are talking about a third party dependent hope and they have a very skeptical if not negative tone.
is one possibility (würd' is a colloquial shortening of würde). Literally: I wouldn't bet on it [if I were you].
gibt es den gleichen Ausdruck auch auf Deutsch.
Das ist aber leicht zu finden, etwa hier bei dict.leo: zählen, rechnen, bauen, verlassen.